The figure below shows the cancellation / completion ratio of Asia-Pacific deals going back twenty years. The chart shows how this year has been a huge outlier, with the ratio moving well above two times, compared with a historical range rarely exceeding one. In other words, in 2020, more than two deals have been cancelled for every deal that has completed. This indicates the scale of the disruption in the M&A space this year.
M&A cancel / complete ratio (x)
What does this imply for M&A investment returns for the rest of the year? We think they will be strongly positive for the following reasons: (more…)