The outlier rejoins the pack
We have been writing for some time about the bottoming-out of the value factor which started in November 2020.
This trend has been observed globally and among the various markets of the Asia-Pacific region.
However, one market had been notably absent from the trend: (more…)
Catalysts emerge
This month we check on the progress of our turning-point thesis.
Record Q1 for M&A
M&A activity in Asia-Pacific is trending at a post-GFC record:
Several drivers exist in our view: (more…)
Implications of bear steepening
Interest rates are in focus, with long-term Treasury yields rising steadily, the curve steepening and implied volatility moving higher.
We have previously considered the effect of these trends on equity relative value performance. How about the impact on corporate merger activity? (more…)
Holding the floor
We have recently written about the potential turning point for Value versus Growth which occurred in mid-November.
To recap, we identified a sharp spike in the volatility of the Value / Growth ratio as resembling a similar event in the year 2000, which at that time marked the start of a long period of Value out-performance.
What do we need for the turning point thesis to hold? (more…)